Post by O's GM on Sept 2, 2013 18:43:33 GMT -5
I figure I'll make this post since it'll amuse me and give potential trading partners some idea as to where I stand on various guys. Ratings are mine.
Julio Urias A- . Having traded Dylan Bundy, Urias is my top prospect to my mind, and I like him more than Owens and Glasnow, who I'd traded prior. Only allowed to throw 70 innings between XST and low-A as a 16 year old he K'ed 67 in A (nearly 11 per 9), only walked 16, showed groundball+popup tendencies, picked off five runners and didn't allow a steal. He could start as high as AA next year (and will almost certainly reach there by the end of the season) as a 17 year old. Amazing stuff/polish combination for a guy the age of a rising HS junior.
Nick Williams B (borderline B+) - Before a horrible HS senior year was getting unfair comps to Bonds and Griffey for his offensive tools/swing and projectability. I thought he'd be massively raw when he put up numbers similar to Lewis Brinson in the AZL. Turns out, he put up the best numbers of any of the Hickory contingent offensively. makes good, hard contact and has great speed that isn't showing on the bases. He needs a ton of work taking pitches and on D, but he has impact potential as a LF.
Jesse Hahn - B Health is why I wouldn't have him nearly even with Williams. He's been a slow return from arm draft-time arm issues, and had some nagging stuff at the end of this year, but he hits upper 90s in starts with two potential plus or better secondaries. The Rays were aggressive in the FSL promotion due to his stuff and to make up for time missed. Look for him to be in AA next year and high on the list for spot starts etc at TB.
Mookie Betts- B Raw defense and 2b not being THAT valuable is why I have Betts so low. This year has just been absurd for him... the combination of power speed and contact is fantastic for a non 1b/lf/rf guy. On performance alone he should be in top 100's, and even guys like Keith Law think he could be an above average regular. Relatively blocked in Boston, though.
Edwin Diaz- B before last year's draft he was seen as similar to Jose Berrios stuff-wise as far as PR pitchers went, but had huge issues in the AZL. This year, the big fastball is still there, but his control actually appears to be above average now. If that continues as he moves up the line and his secondaries improve, he could be a front of rotation sort.
Alex Reyes- B basically the more polished version of Diaz minus some velo. Already showing good secondaries and signed for a good bonus by STL with a bit of a loophole, he, too could be a front of rotation sort who is years away.
Greg Bird a low B It takes a 1b a lot to rate well as a prospect. Even now, I think the average OPS+ is still near 110 at the position. Bird's D there is slightly below average from the metrics I see, but his bat is fantastic. Injuries had him barely playing before this year, and he went into a long slump in the middle of the season before breaking out. He seems to be the classic slugging/walking 1b type, but it's always hard to play a bad D guy, even if he becomes that at the MLB level. Would like to see him get some innings at C so the yanks could use him as a Doumit type (and so I could...)
Steven Matz B-/borderline B - the highest mets pick in the year he was drafted (lots of comp picks lost) had major injury issues like Hahn. Was good last year, and was even better this year. No real health scares either, just caution. Big groundball rates K's and control. Number 3 starter type if he stays healthy/normal.
Gustavo Cabrera B-/borderline B - overcame horrid start in the DSL to produce above average. On pure tools, MLB scouting sources had him only 1 OFP below Buxton last year, but tools to results can be tricky. Walks a ton, k's a decent amount, plays great D. 90 speed, but lots of CS. He reminds me of a better Anthony Gose.
Adalberto Mejia - B- Will be one of the 5 youngest regulars in the AFL, last I checked. A lefty who sits 91 with good secondaries. SF knows its way around pitchers... I've seen him said to potentially be a number 3.
Severino Gonzalez B-? Don't know what to make of him. I saw BA had his Velo up to 94. Just had a great AA debut. The jump from the VSL to AA in one year is crazy. Really don't know what to make of him.
Roni Torreyes B- I still believe. The astros have been playing him at SS since getting him. It's an org that will likely give him a shot at the ML level. He still rarely K's and shows some pop. his glove was + at 2B, I'm guessing he's average at SS. I think he's at least a callaspo type, when you adjust for age, and Callaspo was underrated.
Vince Belnome b- - I still like this guy. Has hit everywhere, and I think will hit everywhere. He can play a passable 2b/3b . The Rays are the right team for him. Should at least hit when he gets a shot somewhere.
Mike Ohlman b- - Don't know what to make of him aside from a great offensive year. I guess we'll see more in the AFL. Curious why he's caught so little. Big bonus/scouting guy the year he was drafted who has hit his way back to legit prospect-dom.
Thoughts? Disagreements etc?
Julio Urias A- . Having traded Dylan Bundy, Urias is my top prospect to my mind, and I like him more than Owens and Glasnow, who I'd traded prior. Only allowed to throw 70 innings between XST and low-A as a 16 year old he K'ed 67 in A (nearly 11 per 9), only walked 16, showed groundball+popup tendencies, picked off five runners and didn't allow a steal. He could start as high as AA next year (and will almost certainly reach there by the end of the season) as a 17 year old. Amazing stuff/polish combination for a guy the age of a rising HS junior.
Nick Williams B (borderline B+) - Before a horrible HS senior year was getting unfair comps to Bonds and Griffey for his offensive tools/swing and projectability. I thought he'd be massively raw when he put up numbers similar to Lewis Brinson in the AZL. Turns out, he put up the best numbers of any of the Hickory contingent offensively. makes good, hard contact and has great speed that isn't showing on the bases. He needs a ton of work taking pitches and on D, but he has impact potential as a LF.
Jesse Hahn - B Health is why I wouldn't have him nearly even with Williams. He's been a slow return from arm draft-time arm issues, and had some nagging stuff at the end of this year, but he hits upper 90s in starts with two potential plus or better secondaries. The Rays were aggressive in the FSL promotion due to his stuff and to make up for time missed. Look for him to be in AA next year and high on the list for spot starts etc at TB.
Mookie Betts- B Raw defense and 2b not being THAT valuable is why I have Betts so low. This year has just been absurd for him... the combination of power speed and contact is fantastic for a non 1b/lf/rf guy. On performance alone he should be in top 100's, and even guys like Keith Law think he could be an above average regular. Relatively blocked in Boston, though.
Edwin Diaz- B before last year's draft he was seen as similar to Jose Berrios stuff-wise as far as PR pitchers went, but had huge issues in the AZL. This year, the big fastball is still there, but his control actually appears to be above average now. If that continues as he moves up the line and his secondaries improve, he could be a front of rotation sort.
Alex Reyes- B basically the more polished version of Diaz minus some velo. Already showing good secondaries and signed for a good bonus by STL with a bit of a loophole, he, too could be a front of rotation sort who is years away.
Greg Bird a low B It takes a 1b a lot to rate well as a prospect. Even now, I think the average OPS+ is still near 110 at the position. Bird's D there is slightly below average from the metrics I see, but his bat is fantastic. Injuries had him barely playing before this year, and he went into a long slump in the middle of the season before breaking out. He seems to be the classic slugging/walking 1b type, but it's always hard to play a bad D guy, even if he becomes that at the MLB level. Would like to see him get some innings at C so the yanks could use him as a Doumit type (and so I could...)
Steven Matz B-/borderline B - the highest mets pick in the year he was drafted (lots of comp picks lost) had major injury issues like Hahn. Was good last year, and was even better this year. No real health scares either, just caution. Big groundball rates K's and control. Number 3 starter type if he stays healthy/normal.
Gustavo Cabrera B-/borderline B - overcame horrid start in the DSL to produce above average. On pure tools, MLB scouting sources had him only 1 OFP below Buxton last year, but tools to results can be tricky. Walks a ton, k's a decent amount, plays great D. 90 speed, but lots of CS. He reminds me of a better Anthony Gose.
Adalberto Mejia - B- Will be one of the 5 youngest regulars in the AFL, last I checked. A lefty who sits 91 with good secondaries. SF knows its way around pitchers... I've seen him said to potentially be a number 3.
Severino Gonzalez B-? Don't know what to make of him. I saw BA had his Velo up to 94. Just had a great AA debut. The jump from the VSL to AA in one year is crazy. Really don't know what to make of him.
Roni Torreyes B- I still believe. The astros have been playing him at SS since getting him. It's an org that will likely give him a shot at the ML level. He still rarely K's and shows some pop. his glove was + at 2B, I'm guessing he's average at SS. I think he's at least a callaspo type, when you adjust for age, and Callaspo was underrated.
Vince Belnome b- - I still like this guy. Has hit everywhere, and I think will hit everywhere. He can play a passable 2b/3b . The Rays are the right team for him. Should at least hit when he gets a shot somewhere.
Mike Ohlman b- - Don't know what to make of him aside from a great offensive year. I guess we'll see more in the AFL. Curious why he's caught so little. Big bonus/scouting guy the year he was drafted who has hit his way back to legit prospect-dom.
Thoughts? Disagreements etc?